[NYTr] Afghanistan: Six years later America plans for a long stay

[All the News That Doesn't Fit]

[It dosn't matter too much what "America" plans.  "America" planned for
a short stay in Vietnam, ended up with a long stay, and still were
defeated. The USSR had the wit to learn something from the US war
on Vietnam but still figured they'd outlast the Afghans. We all know
how that ended. We shall see what the Afghans plan. -NYTr]

AP - Oct 6, 2007
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AFGHAN_SIX_YEARS_LATER?SITE=NYUTI&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

6 years later, US expands Afghan base

By JASON STRAZIUSO
Associated Press Writer

BAGRAM, Afghanistan (AP) -- Six years after the first U.S. bombs began
falling on Afghanistan's Taliban government and its al-Qaida guests,
America is planning for a long stay.

Originally envisioned as a temporary home for invading U.S. forces, the
sprawling American base at Bagram, a former Soviet outpost in the
shadow of the towering Hindu Kush mountains, is growing in size by
nearly a third.

Today the U.S. has about 25,000 troops in the country, and other NATO
nations contribute another 25,000, more than three times the number of
international troops in the country four years ago, when the Taliban
appeared defeated.

The Islamic militia has come roaring back since then, and 2007 has been
the battle's bloodiest year yet.

Barnett R. Rubin, an expert on Afghanistan at New York University, said
U.S. leaders in Washington "utterly failed" to understand what was
needed to consolidate that original Taliban rout, which started with
airstrikes on Oct. 7, 2001, less than a month after the Sept. 11
attacks in Washington and New York.

"The Bush administration did not see Afghanistan as a long-term
commitment, and its leaders deceived themselves into thinking they had
won an irreversible victory. They did not consider Afghanistan
important and always intended to focus on Iraq," he said.

"Now the U.S. and international community have fallen way behind, and
the Taliban are winning strategically, even if we defeat them in every
tactical engagement," he added.

At Bagram, new barracks will help accommodate the record number of U.S.
troops in the country.

"We've grown in our commitment to Afghanistan by putting another
brigade (of troops) here, and with that we know that we're going to
have an enduring presence," said Col. Jonathan Ives. "So this is going
to become a long-term base for us, whether that means five years, 10
years - we don't know."

Insurgents have launched more than 100 suicide attacks this year, an
unprecedented pace, including a bombing in Kabul on Saturday against a
U.S. convoy that killed an American soldier and four Afghan civilians -
the third suicide blast in Kabul in a week.

More than 5,100 people - mostly militants - have died in insurgency
related violence so far this year, according to an Associated Press
count based on figures from Afghan and Western officials. That far
outpaces last year's violence, when the AP count topped 4,000 for the
entire year.

Some 87 U.S. troops have also died so far this year, also a record
pace. About 90 U.S. servicemembers were killed in all of last year.

Wide areas of the south - in Helmand, Kandahar and Uruzgan provinces -
are controlled by the Taliban, and the fighting is migrating north,
into Ghazni province - where 23 South Koreans were kidnapped in July -
and Wardak, right next door to Kabul, the capital.

Osama bin Laden, whose presence here was a trigger for the U.S.-led
attack, is still at large, possibly hiding in the mountains along the
Afghanistan-Pakistan border.

And Afghan farmers this year grew a record amount of opium poppy,
prompting officials to draw up plans to use the military in drug
interdiction missions against traffickers.

Rubin said Washington ignored how difficult the fight would be and
wanted to prevent U.S. forces from being tied down in nation-building
exercises as in the Balkans.

"Since 2005, U.S. generals have told me (former Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld) was drumming his fingers on the table trying to find
out when he could take the troops out," Rubin said. "Now the
administration has completely reversed itself, but of course without
ever admitting it was wrong and still without a strategy that has a
serious chance of success."

Still, U.S. commanders point out that military operations have killed
more than 50 mid- and high-level Taliban commanders this year, causing
at least a temporary disruption in the militants' abilities. The Afghan
army participated in its first jointly planned and executed operation,
in Ghazni province, earlier this summer.

Originally, Pentagon planners thought Bagram would be a "temporary"
camp, Ives said, but an increased U.S. commitment to Afghanistan means
Bagram needs to grow.

"Where we designed a base around 3,000 (troops), it quickly moved to
7,000 and now we're housing about 13,000, so just in a very short
period of time you've grown not necessarily exponentially but you've
definitely doubled just about every two years," Ives said.

A new runway accommodates heavier C-5 cargo planes and Boeing 747s. New
soldiers' barracks - safer and more comfortable than the wooden
structures that dot Bagram - are being built. And more workers are
flowing in. Two years ago, some 1,500 Afghans worked in support roles
at Bagram; today 5,000 walk through its front gates daily.

Six years after CIA agents and Special Forces soldiers helped the
Northern Alliance swoop down from their northern stronghold toward
Taliban-controlled Kabul, President Hamid Karzai is increasingly asking
that Taliban militants join the government through peace talks. And the
U.N. has said an increasing number of fighters want peace.

But the Taliban and factional warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, leader of
the militant group Hezb-i-Islami, have rejected those offers, saying
that international troops must first leave the country.

Although the Taliban seems to have an endless recruiting base in the
ethnic Pashtun heartland in southern and eastern Afghanistan and the
Pakistan border region, some fighters are laying down their arms and
joining the government.

Officials in Ghazni province on Saturday said some 50 militants from
Andar District - a Taliban stronghold where some of the Korean hostages
were held - will join the government's reconciliation process.

But the U.S. will mentor Afghanistan's military for years to come, Ives
said. He said America's military and aid commitments to Afghanistan are
"speaking volumes."

"Our commitment to them is really saying we will be here until you have
the security and stability that allows you to be a developing country
on your own, and if that's 10 years then it's 10 years," he said. "But
I think the thing is we're looking to help them as much as we can."

© 2007 The Associated Press.